Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +17 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | XAV -6.6 (-23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | XAV -6.8 (-23.8) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -4.4 (-21.4) | 148.4 (+4.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -5.0 (-22.0) | 150.3 (+2.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | XAV -5.7 (-22.7) | 147.9 (+5.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-8 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 6-7 | 10-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#33) | 9.7 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#23) | 1.55 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#27) | 2.52 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#21) | 0.586 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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