Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | SEA -190 PORT +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +16 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -4.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.9 (+12.1) | 137.6 (+14.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -2.6 (+13.4) | 139.9 (+12.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.9 (+13.1) | 140.4 (+11.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -4.3 (+11.7) | 141.2 (+10.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SEA 71 – 59 PORT |
| Feb 8, 2026 | PORT 54 – 53 SEA |
| Nov 20, 2022 | SEA 80 – 68 PORT |
| Nov 26, 2020 | SEA 84 – 72 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 0-11 |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 85.1 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#269) | -7.6 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#213) | 0.07 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#216) | -1.09 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#245) | 0.487 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 12.1% | 36.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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