Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -375 PORT +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -9.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -8.9 (+3.1) | 141.3 (-11.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -8.0 (+4.0) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -9.0 (+3.0) | 136.8 (-6.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -9.2 (+2.8) | 138.1 (-8.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PORT 54 – 53 SEA |
| Nov 20, 2022 | SEA 80 – 68 PORT |
| Dec 31, 2020 | SEA 84 – 68 PORT |
| Nov 26, 2020 | SEA 84 – 72 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#119) | -3.2 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#127) | -0.29 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#107) | -0.36 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#182) | 0.475 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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