Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | PORT -163 SEA +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | PORT -9.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -2.6 (-14.6) | 147.9 (+0.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -9.8 (-21.8) | 148.2 (-0.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -11.1 (-23.1) | 149.9 (-1.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -7.7 (-19.7) | 150.3 (-2.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SEA 71 – 59 PORT |
| Feb 8, 2026 | PORT 54 – 53 SEA |
| Dec 31, 2020 | SEA 84 – 68 PORT |
| Nov 26, 2020 | SEA 84 – 72 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#43) | 6.9 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#95) | 1.50 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#94) | 2.06 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#154) | 0.487 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 43.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 41.7% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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