Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SF -1100 USD +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SF -23.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -17.6 (-9.6) | 145.5 (-13.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -16.0 (-8.0) | 146.2 (-14.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -18.4 (-10.4) | 146.5 (-14.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -18.9 (-10.9) | 144.7 (-12.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SF 92 – 79 USD |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SF 74 – 64 USD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SF 84 – 61 USD |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SF 81 – 69 USD |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SF 95 – 79 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 3-11 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 2-7 |
| Home | 3-5 | 0-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#66) | -11.7 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#132) | -1.34 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#140) | -2.28 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#109) | 0.436 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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