Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC -115 SEMO -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -0.9 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -0.9 (+9.9) | 145.0 (-10.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -1.6 (+10.6) | 139.4 (-4.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -1.7 (+10.7) | 144.1 (-9.1) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -0.4 (+9.4) | 143.9 (-8.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SEMO 89 – 73 TNTC |
| Dec 19, 2025 | TNTC 85 – 74 SEMO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 69 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEMO 77 – 70 TNTC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SEMO 88 – 69 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-22 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 0-16 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#306) | -6.5 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#304) | -2.00 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.37 (#300) | -2.98 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#219) | 0.347 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 83.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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