Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | BEL -135 MUR +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +13 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -9.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -9.8 (+3.2) | 142.5 (-19.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -5.9 (+7.1) | 138.9 (-15.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -8.3 (+4.7) | 142.8 (-19.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -7.7 (+5.3) | 141.9 (-18.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | BEL 87 – 70 MUR |
| Feb 1, 2026 | BEL 103 – 86 MUR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BEL 70 – 60 MUR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BEL 95 – 77 MUR |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BEL 83 – 61 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#100) | -1.0 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#86) | -1.08 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#117) | -1.37 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#124) | 0.402 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.