Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MUR -150 BEL +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +22 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -3.5 (-25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -2.0 (-24.0) | 152.0 (-8.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -1.3 (-23.3) | 148.7 (-4.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -1.2 (-23.2) | 150.0 (-6.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -1.7 (-23.7) | 153.0 (-9.0) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | BEL 87 – 70 MUR |
| Feb 1, 2026 | BEL 103 – 86 MUR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BEL 70 – 60 MUR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BEL 95 – 77 MUR |
| Feb 8, 2024 | BEL 69 – 64 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#134) | 2.0 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#195) | 0.75 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#156) | 0.93 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#182) | 0.550 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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