Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | BEL -150 MUR +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -3.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -3.4 (+6.6) | 149.3 (-19.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -3.0 (+7.0) | 149.6 (-19.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -3.5 (+6.5) | 152.2 (-22.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -3.2 (+6.8) | 150.8 (-20.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | BEL 87 – 70 MUR |
| Feb 1, 2026 | BEL 103 – 86 MUR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BEL 95 – 77 MUR |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BEL 83 – 61 MUR |
| Feb 8, 2024 | BEL 69 – 64 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-4 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#140) | 0.8 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#101) | 0.24 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#115) | 0.23 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#94) | 0.509 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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