Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -110 RICH -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -4.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -3.3 (-9.3) | 144.0 (+10.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -3.2 (-9.2) | 138.2 (+15.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -3.4 (-9.4) | 142.0 (+12.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -3.3 (-9.3) | 144.2 (+9.8) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 14-9 |
| Conference | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 4-2 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#76) | 6.4 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#115) | 1.48 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#104) | 1.90 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#103) | 0.587 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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