Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | IU -250 PSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +2 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | IU -4.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+31.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -4.0 (-2.0) | 141.1 (+30.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -1.7 (+0.3) | 138.9 (+33.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -2.3 (-0.3) | 142.3 (+29.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -3.5 (-1.5) | 142.6 (+29.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | IU 113 – 72 PSU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | IU 83 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IU 77 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | IU 61 – 59 PSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PSU 83 – 74 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 7-12 |
| Home | 6-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#41) | 10.3 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#70) | 1.80 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#57) | 3.52 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#91) | 0.623 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.