Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | WIS -420 MINN +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -7.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -6.2 (+5.8) | 148.0 (-18.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -5.7 (+6.3) | 145.9 (-15.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -6.0 (+6.0) | 147.9 (-17.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -6.1 (+5.9) | 148.2 (-18.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WIS 67 – 63 MINN |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WIS 78 – 75 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2025 | WIS 74 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WIS 80 – 59 MINN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WIS 61 – 59 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#18) | 10.0 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#50) | 3.13 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#42) | 4.84 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#67) | 0.621 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 41.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 12.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 36.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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