Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -17.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -14.0 (-9.0) | 145.4 (-18.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -12.2 (-7.2) | 138.9 (-11.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -14.0 (-9.0) | 140.0 (-13.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -14.6 (-9.6) | 145.7 (-18.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 13-0 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-0 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 64.2 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#91) | -7.9 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#48) | -0.20 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#67) | -0.69 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#82) | 0.534 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 55.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 36.3% |
Game Analysis
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