Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -4.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -2.8 (+4.8) | 131.0 (-3.0) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -2.8 (+4.8) | 124.3 (+3.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -2.1 (+4.1) | 127.8 (+0.2) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -3.8 (+5.8) | 129.8 (-1.8) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-15 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#313) | -3.7 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#316) | -1.19 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.32 (#320) | -2.24 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#311) | 0.473 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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