Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | KENN +140 JAX -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -3.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -0.1 (-6.1) | 129.4 (+8.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -0.9 (-6.9) | 132.7 (+5.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -0.6 (-6.6) | 132.2 (+5.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -0.6 (-6.6) | 129.8 (+8.2) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2024 | JAX 92 – 86 KENN |
| Feb 15, 2024 | KENN 66 – 61 JAX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | KENN 83 – 79 JAX |
| Jan 13, 2023 | KENN 81 – 68 JAX |
| Feb 19, 2022 | JAX 59 – 56 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 5-9 |
| Home | 4-9 | 7-5 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#285) | -8.2 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#319) | -0.95 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.26 (#315) | -1.82 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#246) | 0.442 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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