Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | MSST +110 UK -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | MSST -6.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -8.5 (-13.5) | 135.1 (+15.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -5.0 (-10.0) | 131.7 (+19.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -7.4 (-12.4) | 135.1 (+15.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -7.8 (-12.8) | 135.8 (+15.2) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | UK 92 – 68 MSST |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UK 95 – 90 MSST |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UK 91 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UK 90 – 77 MSST |
| Feb 16, 2023 | UK 71 – 68 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#88) | 2.4 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#111) | -1.91 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#100) | -1.34 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#124) | 0.440 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.