Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ISU +1000 BAY -1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -23.4 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -13.7 (+2.7) | 147.1 (-6.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -13.8 (+2.8) | 147.3 (-6.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -17.0 (+6.0) | 150.0 (-9.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -15.0 (+4.0) | 149.8 (-8.8) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ISU 72 – 69 BAY |
| Jan 8, 2026 | ISU 70 – 60 BAY |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ISU 74 – 55 BAY |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ISU 76 – 62 BAY |
| Feb 4, 2024 | BAY 70 – 68 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 28-2 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 13-1 |
| Home | 2-10 | 11-0 |
| Away | 0-11 | 7-1 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 10-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L18 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 65.5 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#212) | 23.8 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#256) | 3.83 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#279) | 6.46 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#266) | 0.595 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 52.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 45.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 60.9% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 41.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.7% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 27.1% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.