Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +140 NAU -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -2.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -0.3 (-5.3) | 135.4 (+25.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -0.4 (-4.6) | 131.8 (+29.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -1.3 (-3.7) | 135.4 (+25.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -0.0 (-5.0) | 135.9 (+25.1) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-21 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 4-10 |
| Home | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#314) | -11.6 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.39 (#327) | -1.73 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.32 (#329) | -2.79 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.297 (#332) | 0.452 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 25.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 62.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.