Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | BALL +100 OHIO -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +10 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -4.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -1.5 (-8.5) | 145.6 (+0.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -1.6 (-8.4) | 142.8 (+3.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -2.3 (-7.7) | 147.8 (-1.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -2.6 (-7.4) | 146.1 (-0.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OHIO 69 – 57 BALL |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BALL 76 – 71 OHIO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 71 BALL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | OHIO 84 – 79 BALL |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OHIO 90 – 70 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-13 | 17-8 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#180) | 6.6 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#168) | -0.06 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#152) | 0.33 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#130) | 0.468 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.