Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -1.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -2.7 (-4.7) | 163.5 (-11.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -0.9 (-1.1) | 159.7 (-7.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -1.0 (-3.0) | 164.4 (-12.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -2.3 (-4.3) | 165.7 (-13.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | IOWA 68 – 62 RUTG |
| Feb 12, 2025 | IOWA 84 – 73 RUTG |
| Jan 6, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 RUTG |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IOWA 93 – 82 RUTG |
| Jan 8, 2023 | IOWA 76 – 65 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 83.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#22) | 18.3 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#10) | 2.44 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.01 (#10) | 4.08 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.702 (#2) | 0.574 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 2.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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