Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -300 GB +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -8.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -6.9 (-16.9) | 148.1 (-0.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -6.7 (-16.7) | 145.9 (+2.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -7.8 (-17.8) | 149.6 (-1.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -6.4 (-16.4) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | GB 85 – 63 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | YSU 88 – 81 GB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YSU 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | YSU 73 – 69 GB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | YSU 71 – 59 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 8-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#211) | -8.1 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#161) | -3.65 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#174) | -4.60 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#242) | 0.384 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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