Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -145 USA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +13 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | USA -7.0 (+20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-47.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USA -3.0 (+16.0) | 153.7 (-42.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USA -3.8 (+16.8) | 141.2 (-30.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USA -2.3 (+15.3) | 147.8 (-36.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USA -3.9 (+16.9) | 153.2 (-42.2) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | GASO 94 – 85 USA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | USA 87 – 71 GASO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | USA 76 – 47 GASO |
| Mar 7, 2024 | GASO 76 – 71 USA |
| Feb 8, 2024 | USA 78 – 65 GASO |
Game Analysis
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