Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | EIU -330 TNTC +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +6 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -11.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -8.2 (-2.2) | 141.9 (+26.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -7.5 (-1.5) | 142.4 (+25.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -8.7 (-2.7) | 143.9 (+24.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -7.5 (-1.5) | 142.1 (+25.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EIU 60 – 54 TNTC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EIU 71 – 61 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TNTC 69 – 64 EIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNTC 75 – 67 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 5-22 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#208) | -10.8 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#251) | -1.64 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#250) | -1.94 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#258) | 0.458 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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