Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | USC -210 UTAH +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +18 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | USC -12.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -11.0 (+7.0) | 140.1 (-30.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -10.2 (+7.8) | 139.6 (-29.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -10.5 (+7.5) | 141.0 (-31.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -10.0 (+8.0) | 139.6 (-29.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | USC 68 – 64 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | USC 62 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 15, 2023 | USC 71 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 22, 2022 | USC 79 – 67 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2021 | USC 93 – 73 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 12-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#14) | 5.7 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#70) | 0.18 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#52) | 0.55 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#48) | 0.454 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.2% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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