Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Under |
| Money | RICE +115 UTSA -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -10.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -9.7 (+5.3) | 152.3 (+0.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -9.1 (+5.9) | 154.1 (-1.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -10.7 (+4.3) | 153.1 (-0.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -10.3 (+4.7) | 153.0 (+0.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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