Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -405 OKST +325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +5 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -11.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -10.8 (-15.8) | 130.9 (+28.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -8.4 (-13.4) | 130.8 (+28.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -9.3 (-14.3) | 136.3 (+22.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -10.1 (-15.1) | 132.5 (+26.5) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TTU 102 – 80 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TTU 93 – 55 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TTU 75 – 58 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2024 | TTU 90 – 73 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 16.0 (#11) | 7.6 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#28) | 2.14 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#23) | 3.63 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#93) | 0.568 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.5% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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