Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR +135 RID -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +16 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | RID -1.7 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -0.7 (+16.7) | 134.9 (-6.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -1.2 (+17.2) | 132.4 (-4.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -1.0 (+17.0) | 135.4 (-7.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -0.8 (+16.8) | 135.0 (-7.0) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FAIR 68 – 62 RID |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FAIR 69 – 49 RID |
| Dec 5, 2024 | FAIR 78 – 75 RID |
| Feb 9, 2024 | FAIR 84 – 67 RID |
| Dec 3, 2023 | FAIR 88 – 81 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-8 | 1-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#316) | -7.9 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#314) | -1.52 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.03 (#295) | -2.12 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.321 (#328) | 0.401 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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