Today Billie Joe McAllister jumped off the Tallahatchee Bridge "Ode to Billie Joe" - Bobbie Gentry
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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55–35 on winners spread MAE 10.1 90 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kent State @ Akron +4.0 160.6 64% 62–66 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland -14.9 150.0 9% 90–51 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis +2.4 140.3 59% 65–62 ✗
Texas State @ Louisiana +4.8 128.2 67% 77–83 ✓
Arkansas State @ UL Monroe +3.5 131.7 62% 72–84 ✓
Old Dominion @ Florida International +4.2 168.5 65% 67–82 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State -12.6 141.9 13% 89–90 ✗
Marshall @ Louisiana Tech -4.0 150.9 36% 68–75 ✗
UTEP @ Southern Miss -11.2 117.7 16% 66–74 ✗
Texas @ Kansas +4.5 140.7 66% 84–59 ✗
Creighton @ Providence -4.3 156.9 35% 67–65 ✓
Missouri @ Arkansas +9.0 147.2 79% 81–68 ✗
Louisville @ Boston College -4.2 142.7 35% 76–64 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern +4.5 126.3 66% 52–75 ✓
Duquesne @ George Washington -2.7 153.5 40% 75–63 ✓
Baylor @ Iowa State -22.3 148.4 2% 76–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Canisius -2.3 130.6 42% 60–63 ✗
Florida A&M @ South Carolina +12.0 141.3 86% 71–78 ✓
Chattanooga @ VMI -1.2 141.6 46% 79–84 ✗
Iowa @ Rutgers -1.3 168.9 45% 77–75 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ South Carolina State -7.9 145.8 24% 97–86 ✓
East Carolina @ Tulane -2.7 127.3 40% 56–60 ✗
Niagara @ Marist +3.7 121.1 63% 86–72 ✗
Clemson @ Miami -9.2 119.3 20% 66–65 ✓
LSU @ Florida +2.4 159.8 59% 79–83 ✓
Binghamton @ Hartford +6.2 131.2 71% 56–76 ✓
TCU @ Kansas State -3.3 134.4 38% 67–60 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +13.1 159.1 88% 80–83 ✓
Toledo @ Western Michigan -9.6 134.5 19% 70–59 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +14.8 139.6 91% 56–61 ✓
Charleston @ Delaware +4.7 128.4 67% 67–70 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho +2.4 139.2 59% 83–78 ✗
Tulsa @ Cincinnati +2.0 129.0 57% 70–66 ✗
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina +2.4 169.1 59% 70–62 ✗
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern -8.6 159.4 22% 49–62 ✗
New Hampshire @ Maine -1.1 131.1 46% 56–59 ✗
Old Dominion @ Florida International +4.2 168.5 65% 71–66 ✗
UTSA @ Rice +10.4 156.6 83% 69–84 ✓
Ohio @ Ball State -3.1 148.1 39% 78–68 ✓
Auburn @ Texas A&M -0.1 136.3 50% 66–68 ✗
West Virginia @ Oklahoma +1.0 148.9 54% 71–75 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +12.2 131.1 87% 82–77 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +13.4 147.5 89% 65–66 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +7.6 120.7 76% 70–67 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Evansville -2.1 141.9 43% 61–65 ✗
Utah @ USC +11.9 142.3 86% 46–64 ✓
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +8.2 154.8 77% 79–69 ✗
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State +2.5 126.6 59% 72–66 ✗
Troy @ App State +2.8 121.3 60% 59–90 ✓
Lamar @ Abilene Christian +26.8 127.7 99% 65–83 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell -0.7 144.6 47% 73–67 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Charlotte -1.0 132.7 46% 71–75 ✗
Utah Valley @ Weber State +16.1 153.0 93% 62–70 ✓
Butler @ Seton Hall +17.1 140.5 94% 60–68 ✓
George Mason @ Dayton +8.1 136.9 77% 65–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Western Illinois -1.0 134.7 47% 68–50 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota +1.8 119.6 56% 45–52 ✓
Rider @ Fairfield -1.9 135.3 43% 56–72 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Richmond +4.6 146.8 66% 69–66 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha -5.2 147.7 32% 95–83 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota +15.0 145.3 91% 54–93 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland -14.9 150.0 9% 71–81 ✗
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis +2.4 140.3 59% 59–49 ✗
Morehead State @ Murray State +9.5 127.2 81% 61–56 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois +11.9 142.0 86% 81–87 ✓
Belmont @ UT Martin -13.2 155.8 11% 90–69 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay -2.5 154.4 41% 80–75 ✓
Liberty @ Lipscomb -7.6 141.6 24% 66–50 ✓
Central Arkansas @ McNeese -10.4 160.3 17% 81–67 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana +4.8 128.2 67% 71–59 ✗
UT Arlington @ Little Rock +6.3 157.4 72% 62–75 ✓
Arkansas State @ UL Monroe +3.5 131.7 62% 55–62 ✓
UTEP @ Southern Miss -11.2 117.7 16% 77–62 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +6.3 126.7 72% 71–61 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Stephen F. Austin +6.9 136.1 74% 67–78 ✓
Alabama @ Tennessee +17.3 142.2 94% 71–63 ✗
Purdue @ Illinois +11.9 150.0 86% 58–66 ✓
Indiana State @ Missouri State +11.3 140.7 85% 74–84 ✓
California @ Oregon State +1.1 128.6 54% 64–73 ✓
Utah State @ Air Force -11.4 123.4 15% 72–53 ✓
Kentucky @ Mississippi State +6.7 131.0 73% 78–73 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky +9.3 150.6 80% 68–70 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State +5.8 139.4 70% 79–83 ✓
Sam Houston @ Nicholls +7.8 145.9 76% 84–81 ✗
Wichita State @ Ole Miss +11.1 133.2 84% 83–79 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +9.7 139.1 81% 63–62 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +15.4 157.3 92% 52–92 ✓
Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois -17.3 151.0 6% 68–42 ✓
Boise State @ San José State -37.6 152.5 0% 87–86 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle +18.2 115.7 95% 52–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.