We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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69–19 on winners spread MAE 6.8 88 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +8.6 139.6 81% 58–67 ✓
Richmond @ St. Bonaventure +4.0 139.1 73% 65–72 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Miami (OH) +6.6 151.6 80% 63–76 ✓
Central Michigan @ Akron +13.4 138.9 88% 56–57 ✓
Western Carolina @ Mercer +4.3 140.9 70% 53–81 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Murray State +14.4 148.7 87% 74–88 ✓
Ohio @ Northern Illinois -10.3 142.6 18% 57–58 ✗
Campbell @ Gardner-Webb +2.0 126.5 62% 53–54 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ BYU +8.8 142.5 83% 60–85 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Drake +4.6 124.5 71% 52–65 ✓
Morehead State @ Belmont +4.6 138.0 67% 53–51 ✗
Utah State @ San José State -14.3 138.5 14% 75–52 ✓
San Diego @ Portland +0.7 138.4 59% 55–73 ✓
Villanova @ Butler -11.5 132.7 16% 78–59 ✓
Arkansas @ Tennessee +6.4 139.5 79% 74–78 ✓
Alabama @ LSU +6.1 154.0 74% 77–80 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood +7.2 139.6 78% 70–79 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +10.3 144.8 83% 66–71 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville -1.3 130.4 35% 71–61 ✓
Boston College @ Georgia Tech +3.0 134.2 67% 78–82 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas State +3.0 131.7 62% 79–72 ✗
Davidson @ Dayton +3.0 130.2 65% 76–82 ✓
South Carolina @ Auburn +13.0 148.9 87% 71–82 ✓
Miami @ Syracuse +1.6 152.5 50% 75–72 ✗
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +6.4 127.5 76% 41–57 ✓
Marist @ Niagara +0.4 134.1 54% 52–83 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Iona +12.1 150.5 87% 61–79 ✓
Kentucky @ Florida -2.4 143.5 42% 71–63 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +10.6 142.8 84% 67–69 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion -0.2 134.0 47% 64–68 ✗
Florida International @ Florida Atlantic +11.5 140.1 86% 76–84 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Clemson -0.7 133.1 47% 59–63 ✗
NC State @ Florida State +6.6 148.0 77% 76–89 ✓
Dartmouth @ Harvard +2.2 132.9 63% 76–54 ✗
TCU @ West Virginia +1.6 135.4 58% 64–70 ✓
George Washington @ Fordham +3.2 142.3 70% 66–70 ✓
La Salle @ Duquesne +0.9 138.0 49% 85–76 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop +1.6 136.6 59% 67–76 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +3.3 142.0 71% 66–68 ✓
Seton Hall @ Creighton +1.2 140.2 60% 65–60 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame +11.5 132.3 86% 54–78 ✓
Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's +0.5 134.5 54% 60–70 ✓
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State -1.4 128.9 56% 51–52 ✗
Little Rock @ Troy +7.5 133.1 79% 62–69 ✓
East Carolina @ Wichita State +10.3 141.0 82% 62–70 ✓
Stanford @ Arizona State +3.9 130.5 69% 56–65 ✓
Rice @ UTSA -2.9 148.3 41% 71–82 ✗
North Texas @ UTEP -5.0 126.1 30% 68–70 ✗
Marshall @ Western Kentucky +9.8 156.0 85% 69–78 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UAB +7.4 145.1 78% 74–87 ✓
Charlotte @ Southern Miss -7.6 139.6 22% 70–67 ✓
California Baptist @ Lamar -7.6 134.4 19% 78–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Northern Iowa -6.4 137.5 27% 66–43 ✓
Georgia @ Missouri +6.8 141.0 79% 69–79 ✓
Texas @ Kansas +6.2 142.9 78% 63–70 ✓
Oregon @ Washington State +4.3 142.2 73% 74–94 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Bakersfield -5.0 124.3 32% 66–61 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida A&M +2.6 132.6 55% 73–84 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State -0.2 159.4 48% 85–80 ✓
Chicago State @ Seattle U +14.5 142.6 89% 66–74 ✓
Cornell @ Columbia -8.1 153.4 20% 78–64 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas State +0.6 133.0 54% 78–71 ✗
VCU @ Saint Louis +3.6 137.4 72% 65–69 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Mason +6.4 149.1 76% 83–80 ✗
Siena @ Canisius +0.5 139.7 56% 64–67 ✓
Monmouth @ Rider -3.3 135.4 37% 65–74 ✗
Fresno State @ Wyoming +3.1 128.3 68% 64–68 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Nicholls +7.1 157.1 81% 85–92 ✓
California @ Arizona +16.0 144.6 90% 61–89 ✓
DePaul @ UConn +12.2 147.7 86% 68–75 ✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary -6.7 130.5 20% 68–63 ✓
Southern @ Alabama A&M -4.1 133.3 33% 50–49 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho +1.9 146.8 64% 69–78 ✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington +6.9 153.9 73% 75–83 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word -6.1 143.9 27% 77–68 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State +1.3 143.5 62% 75–78 ✓
Iowa State @ Baylor +13.1 133.4 88% 68–75 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +10.1 157.0 79% 94–81 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Bryant +6.0 141.4 76% 69–70 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia State +2.3 135.5 67% 62–65 ✓
Drake @ Missouri State +1.1 138.1 52% 79–78 ✗
Bellarmine @ Liberty +8.5 136.7 76% 53–50 ✗
Mercer @ Furman +7.9 141.2 76% 66–80 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State +10.4 144.3 87% 77–100 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State +5.4 152.0 75% 85–87 ✓
Princeton @ Pennsylvania -2.2 152.3 39% 93–70 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss +0.9 138.6 48% 63–61 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +11.4 137.9 86% 69–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.