Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Over |
| Money | WYO -215 FRES +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -3.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -3.1 (+0.9) | 128.3 (+3.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -4.7 (-0.7) | 128.9 (+3.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -4.1 (-0.1) | 130.1 (+1.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -4.4 (-0.4) | 129.7 (+2.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 59.6 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#58) | 8.3 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#34) | 1.17 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#38) | 1.63 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#27) | 0.534 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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