Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -14.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -12.1 (+5.9) | 150.5 (-10.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -13.4 (+4.6) | 149.1 (-9.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -13.6 (+4.4) | 150.3 (-10.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -12.4 (+5.6) | 151.1 (-11.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#90) | -4.9 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#54) | -0.91 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#65) | -1.16 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#18) | 0.438 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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