Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -6.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -6.1 (-2.9) | 143.9 (+1.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -5.6 (-3.4) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -5.3 (-3.7) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -5.9 (-3.1) | 145.9 (-0.9) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 7-7 |
| Home | 5-10 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-11 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#350) | -5.2 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#347) | -1.08 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#345) | -1.34 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#314) | 0.435 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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