Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -5.3 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -2.9 (+13.9) | 148.3 (+4.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -3.5 (+14.5) | 149.1 (+3.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -3.6 (+14.6) | 152.0 (+1.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -3.1 (+14.1) | 150.4 (+2.6) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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