Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | VT -1.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -0.7 (+4.7) | 133.1 (-11.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -0.6 (+4.6) | 136.9 (-14.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -0.7 (+4.7) | 137.1 (-15.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -0.9 (+4.9) | 134.1 (-12.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | VT 76 – 66 CLEM |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CLEM 65 – 47 VT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 57 VT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | VT 87 – 72 CLEM |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CLEM 51 – 50 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#81) | 11.9 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#112) | 1.42 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#94) | 1.83 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#144) | 0.556 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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