Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -700 MVSU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -15.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -11.4 (-4.4) | 137.9 (+7.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -12.0 (-5.0) | 137.9 (+7.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -12.3 (-5.3) | 139.5 (+5.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -12.0 (-5.0) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | JKST 85 – 77 MVSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | JKST 97 – 81 MVSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | JKST 66 – 62 MVSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JKST 92 – 44 MVSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | JKST 68 – 67 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 6-3 | 0-11 |
| Away | 5-15 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 83.0 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#282) | -19.3 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#295) | -3.84 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#299) | -4.46 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#263) | 0.355 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.