Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -3.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -4.0 (+3.0) | 139.1 (-2.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -4.0 (+3.0) | 141.0 (-4.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -4.0 (+3.0) | 140.9 (-3.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -4.3 (+2.7) | 141.0 (-4.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | RICH 99 – 94 SBU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RICH 89 – 80 SBU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | SBU 63 – 49 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2024 | RICH 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | SBU 66 – 62 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#88) | 6.0 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#58) | 1.12 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#75) | 1.34 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#47) | 0.555 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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