Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -9.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -10.6 (-8.6) | 142.8 (-6.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -9.9 (-7.9) | 145.1 (-9.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -10.2 (-8.2) | 145.4 (-9.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -11.7 (-9.7) | 145.8 (-9.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | PUR 93 – 64 IU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | IU 72 – 67 PUR |
| Feb 23, 2025 | IU 73 – 58 PUR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PUR 81 – 76 IU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | PUR 79 – 59 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 17.6 (#11) | 10.6 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#12) | 1.69 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.80 (#11) | 2.17 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#19) | 0.548 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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