Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -12.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -10.3 (-5.3) | 144.8 (-7.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -10.0 (-5.0) | 146.7 (-9.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -9.9 (-4.9) | 146.2 (-9.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -10.1 (-5.1) | 145.2 (-8.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 12-4 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#84) | -5.0 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#61) | -0.48 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#77) | -0.71 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#25) | 0.475 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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