Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -3.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -1.9 (+7.1) | 146.8 (+0.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -2.3 (+6.7) | 147.8 (-0.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -2.5 (+6.5) | 148.8 (-1.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -2.2 (+6.8) | 147.2 (-0.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 1-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#331) | -11.7 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#318) | -1.91 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#312) | -2.32 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#327) | 0.429 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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