Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +1 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -15.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -13.4 (-12.4) | 138.9 (-25.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -13.1 (-12.1) | 140.4 (-27.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -13.8 (-12.8) | 139.5 (-26.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -13.8 (-12.8) | 138.7 (-25.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AKR 77 – 64 CMU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | AKR 82 – 69 CMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AKR 85 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | AKR 87 – 71 CMU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | AKR 68 – 47 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 2-9 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#146) | -11.6 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#145) | -1.56 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#140) | -2.06 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#130) | 0.442 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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