Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -9.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -7.6 (+4.6) | 139.6 (-2.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -7.6 (+4.6) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -7.8 (+4.8) | 144.5 (-7.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -7.6 (+4.6) | 142.2 (-5.2) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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