Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -7.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -6.7 (+1.7) | 130.5 (+0.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -7.2 (+2.2) | 133.0 (-2.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -7.3 (+2.3) | 132.6 (-1.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -6.9 (+1.9) | 131.4 (-0.4) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | W&M 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | W&M 94 – 67 NE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NE 70 – 68 W&M |
| Jan 27, 2024 | W&M 72 – 68 NE |
| Feb 18, 2023 | NE 69 – 57 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 2-16 |
| Home | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-14 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#341) | -5.3 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#333) | -1.08 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#343) | -1.26 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#342) | 0.445 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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