Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +5 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -6.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -5.0 (+0.0) | 124.3 (+2.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -6.1 (+1.1) | 128.9 (-1.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.7 (+0.7) | 129.4 (-2.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -4.2 (-0.8) | 128.3 (-1.3) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 9-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-1 |
| Away | 2-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 61.4 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#270) | 3.1 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#313) | 0.48 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#308) | 0.48 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#317) | 0.536 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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