Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +13 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -3.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -4.6 (+8.4) | 124.5 (-7.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -3.4 (+9.6) | 131.1 (-14.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -3.1 (+9.9) | 131.4 (-14.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -2.9 (+10.1) | 127.7 (-10.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DRKE 67 – 63 SIU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SIU 66 – 61 DRKE |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 73 SIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DRKE 70 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DRKE 75 – 65 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 61.6 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#86) | 3.1 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#107) | -0.12 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#107) | 0.07 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#104) | 0.483 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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