The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Columbia Lions
64 – 78
FINAL Conference
Cornell Big Red
Ivy League · Levien Gymnasium · March 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread COR -10.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COR +14 142 Lost
Massey COR -10.2 (-3.8) — —
Massey Totals — 157.8 (-15.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 9% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 6% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COR -8.1 (-5.9) 153.4 (-11.4) 20% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COR -9.4 (-4.6) 155.9 (-13.9) 17% ✓
Baseline ML COR -10.1 (-3.9) 155.7 (-13.7) 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COR -9.4 (-4.6) 155.8 (-13.8) 19% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 COR 88 – 67 COLU
Jan 5, 2026 COLU 104 – 99 COR
Mar 8, 2025 COR 100 – 81 COLU
Jan 11, 2025 COR 94 – 83 COLU
Mar 9, 2024 COR 98 – 76 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU COR
Overall 4-22 15-11
Conference 1-13 7-7
Home 3-10 10-2
Away 1-12 5-8
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L12 L1
Avg Pts For 66.6 76.2
Avg Pts Against 79.5 76.2
Massey -14.9 (#351) -1.9 (#206)
Bradley-Terry -2.95 (#351) -0.19 (#195)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.49 (#349) -0.17 (#188)
RPI 0.358 (#355) 0.482 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU COR
FG% 42.3% 45.4%
3PT% 35.8% 33.2%
REB / G 35.0 36.0
OREB / G 10.3 9.2
AST / TO 0.77 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 53.3%
TOV% 21.7% 20.0%
ORB% 27.7% 26.2%
FT Rate 16.7% 24.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.8% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 18.3%
DRB% 71.0% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 18.7% 22.4%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.