Longwood
Lancers
79
–
70
FINAL
Neutral
Hercules Tires Big South Championship
South Carolina Upstate
Spartans
Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -8.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -7.2 (+1.8) | 139.6 (+9.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -6.9 (+2.1) | 141.8 (+7.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -6.8 (+2.2) | 142.0 (+7.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -7.9 (+1.1) | 142.0 (+7.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LONG 82 – 75 UPST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UPST 65 – 60 LONG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LONG 83 – 66 UPST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LONG 80 – 54 UPST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UPST 69 – 64 LONG |
Game Analysis
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