Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CAN -2.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -0.5 (+2.5) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -1.5 (+1.5) | 137.9 (-6.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -1.3 (+1.7) | 138.0 (-7.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -1.1 (+1.9) | 140.4 (-9.4) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#264) | -4.6 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#258) | -0.05 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#274) | -0.46 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#241) | 0.503 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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