Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +11 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -5.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (+29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -2.6 (+8.4) | 132.6 (+24.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -3.9 (+7.1) | 133.7 (+23.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -3.9 (+7.1) | 134.7 (+22.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -3.5 (+7.5) | 134.7 (+22.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAMU 81 – 77 BCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BCU 87 – 83 FAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BCU 76 – 75 FAMU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BCU 62 – 55 FAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BCU 67 – 66 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#308) | -11.4 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#291) | -2.00 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#311) | -2.46 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#266) | 0.410 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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