Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · March 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -5.0 Home covered
O/U 153.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual EWU +8 158 Won
Massey EWU -6.2 (+1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 151.7 (+6.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -6.9 (+1.1) 153.9 (+4.1) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -4.9 (+3.1) 152.8 (+5.2) 70% ✓
Baseline ML EWU -4.8 (+3.2) 155.3 (+2.7) 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML EWU -5.1 (+2.9) 154.5 (+3.5) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 EWU 67 – 55 PRST
Jan 23, 2026 PRST 65 – 61 EWU
Feb 8, 2025 EWU 72 – 67 PRST
Jan 10, 2025 PRST 64 – 59 EWU
Feb 6, 2024 EWU 90 – 77 PRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU PRST
Overall 18-16 14-17
Conference 11-9 10-10
Home 9-3 7-7
Away 8-11 5-9
Neutral 1-2 2-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 71.6
Avg Pts Against 75.3 73.6
Massey -3.2 (#228) -6.6 (#276)
Bradley-Terry -0.44 (#213) -1.20 (#274)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.52 (#212) -1.19 (#258)
RPI 0.491 (#199) 0.436 (#302)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU PRST
FG% 45.0% 41.9%
3PT% 36.3% 29.7%
REB / G 35.3 32.6
OREB / G 8.4 10.1
AST / TO 1.17 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 47.0%
TOV% 18.3% 17.3%
ORB% 24.9% 26.8%
FT Rate 24.6% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 23.4%
DRB% 75.0% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 26.3%

Game Analysis

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