Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +7 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -6.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -7.1 (-0.1) | 157.1 (+19.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -5.5 (+1.5) | 153.6 (+23.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -4.6 (+2.4) | 155.5 (+21.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -5.2 (+1.8) | 155.6 (+21.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#191) | -5.1 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#206) | -0.90 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#216) | -1.04 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#132) | 0.474 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 12.7% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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